Christof Appenzeller: Katalogdaten im Frühjahrssemester 2018 |
| Name | Herr Prof. Dr. Christof Appenzeller |
| Adresse | Center f. Climate Systems Modeling ETH Zürich, CHN L 12.2 Universitätstrasse 16 8092 Zürich SWITZERLAND |
| christof.appenzeller@usys.ethz.ch | |
| Departement | Umweltsystemwissenschaften |
| Beziehung | Titularprofessor |
| Nummer | Titel | ECTS | Umfang | Dozierende | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701-1226-00L | Inter-Annual Phenomena and Their Prediction  | 2 KP | 2G | C. Appenzeller | |
| Kurzbeschreibung | This course provides an overview of the current ability to understand and predict intra-seasonal and inter-annual climate variability in the tropical and extra-tropical region and provides insights on how operational weather and climate services are organized. | ||||
| Lernziel | Students will acquire an understanding of the key atmosphere and ocean processes involved, will gain experience in analyzing and predicting short-term climate variability and learn how operational weather and climate services are organised and how scientific developments can improve these services. | ||||
| Inhalt | The course covers the following topics: Part 1: - a brief introduction into short-term climate variability and some basic concepts - a brief review of climate data and the statistical concepts used for analysing climate variability (e.g. correlation analysis, teleconnection maps, EOF analysis) Part 2: - inter-annual variability in the tropical region (e.g. ENSO, MJO) - inter-annual variability in the extra-tropical region (e.g. Blocking, NAO, PNA, regimes) Part 3: - prediction of short-term climate variability (statistical methods, ensemble prediction systems. weekly to seasonal forecasts) - verification methods for probabilistic forecast systems Part 4: - challenges for operational weather and climate services - weather and climate extremes - early warning systems - a visit to the forecasting centre of MeteoSwiss | ||||
| Skript | A pdf version of the slides will be available at http://www.iac.ethz.ch/edu/courses/master/modules/interannual-phenomena.html | ||||
| Literatur | References are given during the lecture. | ||||